Stromsgodset 1-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 Sep 2024

Stromsgodset
1-1 HT 1-0
HamKam
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.51
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
10%
7.68
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
17%
5.04
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.71/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
-4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
24.3 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Stromsgodset vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-2D-3L
AWAY HamKam
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.11.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
23.04.2023 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
22.10.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.07.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
31.08.2008 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR

Stromsgodset 1-1 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-1
AWAY HamKam
1.25 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 14
284 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset and HamKam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 43% of the ball to HamKam's 57%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.25 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.17 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs HamKam?

Stromsgodset 1-1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 42%, draw 24%, HamKam 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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