Keflavik 1-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Jul 2026

📅06/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.3pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 53%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.36/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/1.17
-41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.4
25.7 Crosses 22.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.51 xG 1.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.04.2026 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
06.03.2026 Keflavik Keflavik 4-3 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
28.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
27.08.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
29.10.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
1-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.69 xG 0.84
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
352 Passes 335
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Fram Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.69 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Keflavik and 2.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Keflavik 1-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 29%, draw 21%, Fram Reykjavik 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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