FC Cincinnati 4-2 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 24% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
4W-2D-0L
AWAY New York City FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 Passes 456
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
27.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
01.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
11.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABDK
08.09.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
30.06.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-4 HT 3-3 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
4-2
AWAY New York City FC
1.56 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
323 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati saw off New York City FC 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 36% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 47% of the ball to New York City FC's 53%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

FC Cincinnati 4-2 New York City FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 41%, draw 22%, New York City FC 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONLK More Concacaf League Cup
6 Aug 2024
04:00 Leon vs Colorado Rapids Analysis →
04:00 Toluca vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
04:00 Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →