Uganda Police vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kitara
UGA
Uganda Police 1-0 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police nicked a narrow win over Kitara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 8-1.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kitara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uganda Police and 1.00 for Kitara.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Kitara?
Uganda Police 1-0 Kitara in the UGS8 on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 27%, draw 29%, Kitara 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kitara) went the other way.