Uganda Police vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Kitara — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kitara
UGA
Uganda Police 1-2 Kitara — Actual Match Statistics
Kitara edged past Uganda Police 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Kitara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uganda Police had 56% of the ball to Kitara's 44%, shots finished 7-11.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Uganda Police and 0.50 for Kitara.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Kitara?
Uganda Police 1-2 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Kitara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 39%, draw 29%, Kitara 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.