BUL 0-2 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 27 Nov 2025

BUL
0-2 HT 0-0
Gaddafi
📅27/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.31/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.14
-29% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gaddafi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
03.01.2024 Gaddafi Gaddafi 2-1 HT 2-0 BUL BUL UGA
28.11.2021 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-2
AWAY Gaddafi
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi beat BUL 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. BUL carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, BUL had 51% of the ball to Gaddafi's 49%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gaddafi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BUL and 1.50 for Gaddafi.

What was the final score of BUL vs Gaddafi?

BUL 0-2 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BUL 57%, draw 24%, Gaddafi 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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