Nancy 2-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.02
X/2
7%
8.33
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
18%
6.78
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
01.04.2023 Nancy Nancy 3-2 HT 3-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
07.11.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
2-0
AWAY Villefranche
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy saw off Villefranche 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nancy had 52% of the ball to Villefranche's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nancy and 1.67 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Villefranche?

Nancy 2-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nancy 45%, draw 25%, Villefranche 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ BTTS Yes
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