Valenciennes 3-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Sep 2024

Valenciennes
3-1 HT 1-0
Chateauroux
📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
7%
4.36
X/2
12%
6.77
X/X
15%
3.69
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
14%
5.68
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valenciennes v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 30%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.05
+41% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.01.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-3 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
12.09.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.11.2019 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
18.01.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
10.08.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
12.01.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2

Valenciennes 3-1 Chateauroux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
3-1
AWAY Chateauroux
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes beat Chateauroux 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Valenciennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valenciennes had 55% of the ball to Chateauroux's 45%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valenciennes and 1.33 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?

Valenciennes 3-1 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 36%, draw 30%, Chateauroux 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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