Nimes 2-2 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Sep 2024

Nimes
2-2 HT 1-1
Rouen
📅06/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.65
X/2
9%
6.35
X/X
20%
3.89
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
5.01
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.31/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.73
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +74%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rouen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.01.2024 Nimes Nimes 2-0 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
18.08.2023 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
2-2
AWAY Rouen
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes and Rouen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nimes had 64% of the ball to Rouen's 36%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nimes had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nimes and 0.50 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Rouen?

Nimes 2-2 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nimes 38%, draw 32%, Rouen 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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