Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.15
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.31
6+
8%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
8%
9.2
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
7%
23.2
2/2
9%
7.36
2/X
5%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United The Market 24%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.63
0.57 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.35
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Bad
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
226 Passes 190
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.04.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
20.11.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-3 HT 0-3 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-0
AWAY Hartlepool United
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Forest Green Rovers vs Hartlepool United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Forest Green Rovers came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hartlepool United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 47%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.85, roughly 54%.

Under the surface, Forest Green Rovers had 53% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 47%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 0.67 for Hartlepool United.

Forest Green Rovers vs Hartlepool United Result & Final Score

Forest Green Rovers 1-0 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Forest Green Rovers vs Hartlepool United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 56%, draw 23%, Hartlepool United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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