Harrogate Town vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Harrogate Town v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Harrogate Town vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Harrogate Town 0-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town nicked a narrow win over Harrogate Town 1-0 on their travels.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Crawley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Harrogate Town had 50% of the ball to Crawley Town's 50%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.04 to 1.15 — by the quality of chances, Harrogate Town deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 2.00 for Crawley Town.
Harrogate Town vs Crawley Town Result & Final Score
Harrogate Town 0-1 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Harrogate Town vs Crawley Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 38%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.