Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Notts County 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Fleetwood Town 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.69, about 59%.
By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Notts County's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.09.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Notts County against 1.80 for Fleetwood Town.
Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Result & Final Score
Notts County 1-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Fleetwood Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Notts County 44%, draw 23%, Fleetwood Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.