Fleetwood Town 2-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.99
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
9%
5.85
X/2
8%
5.47
X/X
16%
4.51
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.61
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.27/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.46
-10% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 71%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.7 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Notts County
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 3.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
117 Passes 694
68% Pass Accuracy 93%
7 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Notts County Notts County 2-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
21.02.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN1
16.08.2014 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
07.08.2013 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-2
AWAY Notts County
2.10 xG 2.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
176 Passes 467
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Notts County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 33% of the ball to Notts County's 67%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.10 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.50 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Notts County?

Fleetwood Town 2-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 34%, draw 31%, Notts County 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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