Cheltenham Town 1-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

Cheltenham Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Grimsby Town
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.5
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
8%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.97
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
4.17
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.34/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
+9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.6 Crosses 19.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
270 Passes 225
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
05.04.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
13.10.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
26.11.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
16.02.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
08.12.2018 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2

Cheltenham Town 1-1 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.05 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
167 Passes 161
58% Pass Accuracy 57%
12 Box Touches 40
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town and Grimsby Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 50% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 50%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 2.05 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.50 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?

Cheltenham Town 1-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 38%, draw 25%, Grimsby Town 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
1 Mar 2025
00:00 Harrogate Town vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
15:30 Salford City vs Bradford City Analysis →
15:30 Tranmere Rovers vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 Gillingham vs Morecambe Analysis →
18:00 Fleetwood Town vs Notts County Analysis →