Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.2
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
5.71
X/2
9%
5.3
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
24%
3.74
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.35/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.32
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 72%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.2 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Colchester
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
542 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İNTK
17.08.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
26.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
19.08.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-3 HT 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
27.04.2019 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
22.12.2018 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
0-1
AWAY Colchester
0.31 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
393 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester nicked a narrow win over Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Colchester found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 52% of the ball to Colchester's 48%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.31 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.50 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester?

Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 30%, draw 30%, Colchester 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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