Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.24
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.69
X/2
9%
5.21
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
226 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 69%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.5 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Port Vale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 232
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.02.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
14.08.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
06.02.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
14.11.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 3-4 HT 2-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.09.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Port Vale
0.84 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
241 Passes 243
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Port Vale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tranmere Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 53% of the ball to Port Vale's 47%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Port Vale?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 41%, draw 27%, Port Vale 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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