Gillingham vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Morecambe
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN2
Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham edged past Morecambe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gillingham had 53% of the ball to Morecambe's 47%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.72 to 0.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gillingham and 1.00 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Morecambe?
Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 42%, draw 28%, Morecambe 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.