Morecambe vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morecambe v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Morecambe vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Morecambe
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN1
2-1
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İN1
1-1
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Morecambe
İN2
Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham nicked a narrow win over Morecambe 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Gillingham made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Morecambe had 52% of the ball to Gillingham's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Morecambe.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Morecambe and 1.67 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Morecambe vs Gillingham?
Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 37%, draw 25%, Gillingham 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.