Harrogate Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 34% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
17%
5.93
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.56
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.38/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 66%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.6 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.92 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 284
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-3 HT 1-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
26.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
10.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-5 HT 1-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
19.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
2-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
147 Passes 305
47% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town squeezed past Accrington Stanley 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Harrogate Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 40% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 60%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Harrogate Town and 2.75 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Harrogate Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 34%, draw 27%, Accrington Stanley 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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