Accrington Stanley 3-3 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.32
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.36
X/2
14%
6.11
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
13%
3.98
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.60/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.41
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
237 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 62%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.3 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
273 Passes 311
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
10.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-5 HT 1-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
19.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
3-3
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.07 xG 0.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
316 Passes 112
74% Pass Accuracy 49%
28 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Harrogate Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 65% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 35%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Accrington Stanley and 2.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town?

Accrington Stanley 3-3 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 40%, draw 27%, Harrogate Town 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Accrington Stanley), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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