Crewe Alexandra 0-5 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.25
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.37
X/2
18%
5.1
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
12%
3.12
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.37/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.09
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 71%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
26.12.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
09.09.2017 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 5-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
08.11.2016 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
20.02.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-1 HT 2-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
03.10.2015 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
06.04.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-5
AWAY Chesterfield
0.89 xG 1.47
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
256 Passes 485
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 33
26 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield ran out comfortable winners over Crewe Alexandra 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 38% of the ball to Chesterfield's 62%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 0.89 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.50 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Chesterfield?

Crewe Alexandra 0-5 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 36%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 37%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024
14:30 Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
14:30 Carlisle United vs Barrow Analysis →
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Grimsby Town vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Morecambe vs Gillingham Analysis →
17:00 Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →