Port Vale 0-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.39
X/2
13%
7.55
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
14%
5.63
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.30/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 65%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.0 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 Passes 307
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
14.08.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
06.02.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-1 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
14.11.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 3-4 HT 2-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.09.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNTK
19.02.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.58 xG 0.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
295 Passes 233
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
9 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale and Tranmere Rovers played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Port Vale had 54% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 46%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.58 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Vale and 1.67 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers?

Port Vale 0-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 44%, draw 24%, Tranmere Rovers 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
17 Aug 2024
14:30 Bromley vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
14:30 Carlisle United vs Barrow Analysis →
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Chesterfield Analysis →
17:00 Grimsby Town vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
17:00 Morecambe vs Gillingham Analysis →