Colchester 2-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.35
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.5
X/2
14%
5.05
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.04
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.25/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
212 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.6 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 2.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
288 Passes 503
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
19.08.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-3 HT 2-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
27.04.2019 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
22.12.2018 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
17.02.2015 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
29.11.2014 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6-0 HT 3-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
2-0
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
1.23 xG 0.92
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
184 Passes 474
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester beat Milton Keynes Dons 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Colchester found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Colchester had 32% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 68%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colchester and 1.83 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Colchester 2-0 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colchester 36%, draw 26%, Milton Keynes Dons 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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