Ilkeston Town 0-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.69
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Whitby Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
07.09.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 5-1 HT 3-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
01.01.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-4 HT 0-3 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
0-1
AWAY Whitby Town
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town squeezed past Ilkeston Town 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ilkeston Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 65% of the ball to Whitby Town's 35%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Whitby Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.00 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?

Ilkeston Town 0-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 55%, draw 19%, Whitby Town 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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