Ilkeston Town 5-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.5pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
2.54/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.34
+48% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Whitby Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-4 HT 0-3 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town cruised past Whitby Town 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Whitby Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 3.50 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?

Ilkeston Town 5-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 46%, draw 19%, Whitby Town 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
7 Sep 2024
17:00 Bracknell Town vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Mickleover Sports vs Matlock Town Analysis →
17:00 Gosport Borough vs Tiverton Town Analysis →
17:00 Ashton United vs Morpeth Town Analysis →
17:00 Merthyr Town vs Sholing Analysis →
17:00 Dorchester Town vs Frome Town Analysis →