Real Zaragoza 1-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.84
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.5
X/2
9%
5.66
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.01
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Real Zaragoza win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.07
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.0 Crosses 21.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valladolid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
18.08.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
22.01.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
20.08.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
27.05.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-2 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
19.12.2017 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-1
AWAY Valladolid
0.41 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
214 Passes 253
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Valladolid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 46% of the ball to Valladolid's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.41 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.50 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Valladolid?

Real Zaragoza 1-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 38%, draw 29%, Valladolid 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
6 Sep 2025
17:15 Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →
22:00 Malaga vs Granada Analysis →