Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 6 Sep 2025

Deportivo La Coruna
1-0 HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
15%
7.0
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
9%
5.38
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Deportivo La Coruna win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.51/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.48
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 58%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.0 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
411 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
24.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.06.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
15.09.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
27.01.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
09.09.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.65 xG 0.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 Passes 271
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Coruna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 61% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 40%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5
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