Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Nov 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
1-1 HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.66
X/2
10%
6.67
X/X
17%
4.16
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.14
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.0pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.21
-47% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.5 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.53 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.06.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
15.09.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
27.01.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
09.09.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.03.2017 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
01.10.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.57 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
338 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Sporting Gijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 50% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 50%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.57 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.50 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 40%, draw 32%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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