Albacete 2-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
13%
7.84
X/X
11%
4.07
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
6%
6.84
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.09
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.2 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tenerife
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
09.09.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
04.02.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
09.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
14.03.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
29.11.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-2 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-1
AWAY Tenerife
3.04 xG 0.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete squeezed past Tenerife 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 43% of the ball to Tenerife's 57%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 3.04 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Albacete's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Tenerife?

Albacete 2-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Albacete 51%, draw 25%, Tenerife 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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