Mirandes 1-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
5.67
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
7%
7.43
X/X
20%
3.75
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
6.57
2/X
6%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.9 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.63 xG 2.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
252 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.03.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 3-1 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
19.11.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-0
AWAY Eldense
0.98 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
184 Passes 283
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes edged past Eldense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mirandes had 42% of the ball to Eldense's 58%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.98 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mirandes and 1.50 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Eldense?

Mirandes 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 43%, draw 31%, Eldense 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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