Elche 4-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.41
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
10%
6.51
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
11%
5.35
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.14
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
27.6 Crosses 19.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
15.12.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS2
20.07.2020 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
15.09.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
09.02.2019 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
23.09.2018 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
4-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
2.82 xG 0.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
357 Passes 369
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elche vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche ran out comfortable winners over Real Oviedo 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 49% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 51%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.82 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Elche vs Real Oviedo?

Elche 4-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elche 41%, draw 31%, Real Oviedo 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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