Sporting Gijon 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

Sporting Gijon
2-1 HT 2-0
Deportivo La Coruna
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.01
X/2
10%
7.08
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.2
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Gijon v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.21/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.55
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.6 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 373
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.06.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
15.09.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
27.01.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
09.09.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.03.2017 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1

Sporting Gijon 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
2.74 xG 1.72
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 552
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon squeezed past Deportivo La Coruna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sporting Gijon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 32% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 68%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.74 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Sporting Gijon 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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