Elche 1-3 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.62
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
9%
8.0
X/X
11%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.71/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.21
+13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.9 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Levante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
401 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
10.08.2024 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante HAZ
24.03.2024 Levante Levante 3-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
30.09.2023 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
25.02.2022 Levante Levante 3-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS1
18.09.2021 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
1-3
AWAY Levante
1.58 xG 1.57
78% Ball Possession 22%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
605 Passes 135
91% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 8
50 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elche vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante saw off Elche 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Elche had 78% of the ball to Levante's 22%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.58 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Levante.

What was the final score of Elche vs Levante?

Elche 1-3 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elche 44%, draw 27%, Levante 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5
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