Burgos 3-2 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.93
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.64
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
15%
4.15
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.04
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.73
-9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +115%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.0 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Cordoba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
08.12.2001 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
3-2
AWAY Cordoba
1.37 xG 1.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
199 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Cordoba 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Burgos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 37% of the ball to Cordoba's 63%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.37 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burgos and 1.50 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Cordoba?

Burgos 3-2 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Burgos 35%, draw 29%, Cordoba 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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