Mirandes vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirandes v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Mirandes vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Mirandes
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
Mirandes 3-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Mirandes squeezed past CD Castellon 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Mirandes had 44% of the ball to CD Castellon's 56%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.94 to 1.82.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mirandes and 0.67 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Mirandes vs CD Castellon?
Mirandes 3-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirandes vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 47%, draw 25%, CD Castellon 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.