Barakaldo 1-1 Zamora CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 39% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.31/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.99
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zamora CF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Zamora CF Zamora CF 2-1 HT 2-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
18.10.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-3 HT 0-0 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
1-1
AWAY Zamora CF
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Zamora CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo and Zamora CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Barakaldo had 48% of the ball to Zamora CF's 52%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zamora CF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Barakaldo and 2.50 for Zamora CF.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Zamora CF?

Barakaldo 1-1 Zamora CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Zamora CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 36%, draw 27%, Zamora CF 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamora CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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