Ponferradina 0-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Sep 2025

Ponferradina
0-1 HT 0-0
Pontevedra
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Ponferradina vs Pontevedra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ponferradina v Pontevedra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.15/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.75
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ponferradina 0-1 Pontevedra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
0-1
AWAY Pontevedra
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Ponferradina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ponferradina had 59% of the ball to Pontevedra's 41%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?

Ponferradina 0-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 48%, draw 27%, Pontevedra 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ponferradina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5
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