Eldense 1-0 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.64/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.16
+19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.79 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 365
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Eldense Eldense 2-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
21.08.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-1 HT 2-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense edged past Villarreal II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eldense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eldense and 1.50 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Villarreal II?

Eldense 1-0 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eldense 46%, draw 28%, Villarreal II 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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