Eldense 2-0 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
11%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
13%
7.76
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
12%
6.55
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
0.97/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.63
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.0 Crosses 11.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.54 xG 1.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
426 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-1 HT 2-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-0
AWAY Villarreal II
2.05 xG 0.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
207 Passes 391
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense saw off Villarreal II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eldense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Eldense had 39% of the ball to Villarreal II's 61%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Villarreal II?

Eldense 2-0 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eldense 45%, draw 25%, Villarreal II 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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