Real Oviedo 3-2 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

Real Oviedo
3-2 HT 0-1
Levante
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Oviedo vs Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
9%
7.48
X/X
11%
4.1
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.98
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Levante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.03
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +96%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.0 Crosses 12.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Oviedo vs Levante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Levante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 367
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
27.05.2023 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
05.09.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS2
29.04.2017 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
19.11.2016 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
01.02.2003 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Real Oviedo 3-2 Levante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
3-2
AWAY Levante
1.96 xG 1.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
487 Passes 204
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 15
38 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo nicked a narrow win over Levante 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 67% of the ball to Levante's 33%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.96 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.00 for Levante.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Levante?

Real Oviedo 3-2 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 48%, draw 26%, Levante 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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