Burgos vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 3-0 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos swept aside Cartagena 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
On the day, Burgos had 54% of the ball to Cartagena's 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.88 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 0.40 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Cartagena?
Burgos 3-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burgos 45%, draw 28%, Cartagena 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.