Racing Ferrol 2-2 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
18%
6.31
X/X
17%
3.89
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
8%
5.03
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.93/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.15
-11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.3 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.64 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 406
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-3 HT 1-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
26.01.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
03.10.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
09.03.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
24.02.2002 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
07.10.2001 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
2-2
AWAY Racing Santander
1.36 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
386 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Racing Santander shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 61% of the ball to Racing Santander's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.36 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Ferrol and 0.67 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander?

Racing Ferrol 2-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 38%, draw 29%, Racing Santander 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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