Atletico Astorga 1-3 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
+11.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila beat Atletico Astorga 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Astorga at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Real Avila?

Atletico Astorga 1-3 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 47%, draw 25%, Real Avila 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Astorga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Astorga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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