Real Oviedo II 3-2 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 23%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-63% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
251 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo II
3-2
AWAY Sarriana
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo II vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo II nicked a narrow win over Sarriana 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Oviedo II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Oviedo II had 58% of the ball to Sarriana's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo II vs Sarriana?

Real Oviedo II 3-2 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo II vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo II 53%, draw 24%, Sarriana 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo II) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo II) ✗ BTTS No
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