Lealtad 1-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lealtad EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lealtad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Numancia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
08.11.2020 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lealtad Lealtad İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lealtad
1-1
AWAY Numancia
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lealtad vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lealtad and Numancia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Lealtad had 39% of the ball to Numancia's 61%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Lealtad vs Numancia?

Lealtad 1-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lealtad vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lealtad 25%, draw 28%, Numancia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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