Mainz 05 II 2-2 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.85
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lehnerz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
23.03.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-3 HT 2-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-3 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II and Lehnerz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lehnerz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.50 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz?

Mainz 05 II 2-2 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 47%, draw 20%, Lehnerz 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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