Mainz 05 II 0-1 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.60/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.98
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Lehnerz
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
23.03.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-3 HT 2-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-3 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz squeezed past Mainz 05 II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lehnerz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lehnerz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.60 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz?

Mainz 05 II 0-1 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 37%, draw 28%, Lehnerz 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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