Eilenburg 4-3 Hertha Zehlendorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Zehlendorf EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.39/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.95
+43% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hertha Zehlendorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2024 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf 1-2 HT 1-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Hertha Zehlendorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg edged past Hertha Zehlendorf 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eilenburg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?

Eilenburg 4-3 Hertha Zehlendorf in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eilenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 42%, draw 29%, Hertha Zehlendorf 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eilenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eilenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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