Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.23
Over 2.5
40%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.7pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.73/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.74
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Havelse
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Havelse Havelse 3-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-1 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
24.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-0 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
04.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck and Havelse shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.40 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse?

Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 40%, draw 29%, Havelse 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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