St. Pauli II 3-0 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.60/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.84
-5% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-4 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
08.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II cruised past Holstein Kiel II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pauli II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.00 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II?

St. Pauli II 3-0 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 48%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel II 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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